Aliança Catalana won two seats in Catalonia’s 2024 election, and a new government poll estimates it could win as many as 25 in a hypothetical regional vote, while its leader says the party will sit out Spain’s Nov. 29 general election.
The Centre for Opinion Studies (CEO), the Catalan government’s polling agency, put the party at 15% of the vote and 23 to 25 seats in its Oct. 14 barometer. The Socialists’ Party of Catalonia was projected to win 33 to 35 seats, while Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya was placed at 24 to 26.
GESOP interviewed 2,000 eligible voters in person from Sept. 1 to Oct. 5. The reported margin of error was 2.19 percentage points. A September survey by Sigma Dos for El Mundo had estimated Aliança Catalana at 16.7% and 25 to 28 seats. The CEO’s seat ranges for Aliança Catalana and Esquerra Republicana overlap.
The party’s platform includes a proposal on Islamic dress. In May 2025, its group, led by Ripoll Mayor Sílvia Orriols, asked the Catalan Parliament to begin legal changes that would bar Islamic garments in public spaces. The motion failed, with two votes in favor, 106 against and 25 abstentions. A separate statement in the motion calling Islam incompatible with Western values also failed.
Aliança Catalana’s 2024 election program places independence at the center of its platform and says an independent Catalonia would have control over migration policy. The program also argues that migration affects services and wages; those are the party’s claims.
The Union of Islamic Communities of Spain (UCIDE) estimated that 694,046 Muslims lived in Catalonia as of Dec. 31, 2024. The figure comes from UCIDE’s study, not a government census. Al Jazeera reported that Soukayna El Abdi, who leads a Ripoll group for young Moroccans, was surprised by Aliança Catalana’s rise and worried about family members in the town. Her remarks are an individual account, not a measure of opinion across Catalonia’s Muslim population.
Spain’s Royal Decree 806/2026 set the national election for Nov. 29. In an Oct. 19 interview with La Vanguardia, Orriols said her party would not take part. The CEO barometer provides estimates for a regional election and does not explain voters’ choices.
