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Anticipation of Inflation Trends: What Today’s CPI Data Means for the Market

The UK. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is set to be released today, and it’s an important indicator for understanding inflation trends and potential changes in the BOE monetary policy.

  • Headline CPI: Expected to rise to 2.3% YoY, up from 1.7% in September. This increase would bring inflation back above the Bank of England's (BoE) target of 2.0%.
     
  • Core CPI: Forecasted to ease slightly to 3.1% YoY, compared to 3.2% reported in September.
     
  • Monthly Change: A monthly increase of 0.5% is anticipated, reflecting ongoing inflationary pressures.

The increase in headline inflation is mainly due to base effects and higher utility prices. This could mean that the Bank of England might pause its plans to cut interest rates in December. As a result, we might see more ups and downs in the value of the Pound Sterling as traders respond to this information.

  • Market Data
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