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The Bank of Korea raised interest rates for a second consecutive meeting on Thursday, stepping up efforts to contain persistent inflation as South Korea’s economy benefits from strong semiconductor exports and the artificial intelligence boom.
The BOK increased its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.0%, bringing borrowing costs to their highest level since early 2025. The move followed another 25-basis-point increase at the previous meeting and was widely anticipated by financial markets after policymakers delivered increasingly hawkish signals over the past month.
South Korea’s inflation outlook has remained challenging as robust economic growth fuels domestic price pressures. Higher energy costs stemming from the ongoing Middle East conflict have also contributed to inflation, although the Bank of Korea has indicated that demand-driven price increases are a greater concern than temporary supply shocks.
The South Korean economy expanded 3.7% in the second quarter, supported largely by booming semiconductor exports. Strong global demand for chips linked to artificial intelligence infrastructure has provided a major boost to the export-dependent economy.
However, the strength has not been evenly distributed. Analysts have warned that South Korea’s economic recovery remains unbalanced, with domestic demand and private consumption continuing to lag behind the export sector. That weakness could limit how aggressively the central bank raises interest rates from current levels.
“The economy is strong enough to absorb today’s increase, but the case for further hikes is less clear,” analysts at Capital Economics said.
Capital Economics expects the Bank of Korea to face less pressure to continue tightening monetary policy in the coming months. The firm currently anticipates only one additional 25-basis-point rate hike by 2027.
The outlook suggests the BOK may adopt a more cautious approach after its latest back-to-back increases, balancing persistent inflation risks against weak household consumption and uneven domestic economic conditions.
