Unicredit notes its views on CBRT meeting today as follows ...
- We expect the CBRT to keep all rates unchanged at today's MPC meeting, in line with market consensus.
- We expect the one-week repo rate to be kept at 7.5%, the O/N lending rate at 10.75% and the O/N borrowing rate at 7.25%.
- In addition, we do not expect any additional changes to the reserve option coefficients or to banks' required reserve ratios.
- In our view, the elevated inflation environment and historically weak level of the TRY against the dollar argue against further rate cuts.
- Cuts should resume only when inflation pressure and TRY volatility begin to abate meaningfully.


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