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CBRT to keep all rates unchanged

Unicredit notes its views on CBRT meeting today as follows ... We expect the CBRT to keep all rates unchanged at today's MPC meeting, in line with market consensus. We expect the one-week repo rate to be kept at 7.5%, th…

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Unicredit notes its views on CBRT meeting today as follows ...

  • We expect the CBRT to keep all rates unchanged at today's MPC meeting, in line with market consensus. 

  • We expect the one-week repo rate to be kept at 7.5%, the O/N lending rate at 10.75% and the O/N borrowing rate at 7.25%. 

  • In addition, we do not expect any additional changes to the reserve option coefficients or to banks' required reserve ratios. 

  • In our view, the elevated inflation environment and historically weak level of the TRY against the dollar argue against further rate cuts. 

  • Cuts should resume only when inflation pressure and TRY volatility begin to abate meaningfully.

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