Commentary / Economy

Add as a preferred source on Google

Chart of the Day: Trumpflation eases recession probability

As Republican candidate Donald Trump won the US Presidential election, the narrowing of the duration premium, which measured by the yield difference between 10-year and 2-year treasury, reversed course. Whenever the gap …

Updated 1 min read
Chart of the Day: Trumpflation eases recession probability
Image from the original EconoTimes article

Read the original article

As Republican candidate Donald Trump won the US Presidential election, the narrowing of the duration premium, which measured by the yield difference between 10-year and 2-year treasury, reversed course.

Whenever the gap dropped below zero, a recession followed. After declining to 0.78 percent in September, the spread widened to 1.21 percent.

Related articles

View all