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Chart of the Day: UK recession probability

The recession probability in the United Kingdom over the next 12 months reached a historical high of 40 percent. It has jumped 22 percent since June. However, a lot will depend on how the Brexit is handled and on the tra…

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Chart of the Day: UK recession probability
Chart courtesy: Fergal O'Brien, Economics Editor Bloomberg

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The recession probability in the United Kingdom over the next 12 months reached a historical high of 40 percent. It has jumped 22 percent since June.

However, a lot will depend on how the Brexit is handled and on the trade deals. Confidence alone unlikely to trigger a recession.

Chart courtesy: Fergal O'Brien, Economics Editor Bloomberg

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