Currency snapshot (major pairs)

Dollar index trading at 102.07 (-0.05%)

Strength meter (today so far) – Euro -0.16%, Franc -0.01%, Yen -0.10%, GBP -0.33%

Strength meter (since last week) – Euro -0.55%, Franc -0.91%, Yen -0.59%, GBP -1.10%

EUR/USD –

Trading at 1.056

Trend meter –

• Long term – Sell, Medium term – Sell, Short term – Sell

Support                      

• Long term – 1.01, Medium term – 1.032, Short term – 1.032

Resistance –

• Long term – 1.09, Medium term – 1.07, Short term – 1.07

Economic release today –

• ECB would announce monetary policy at 12:45 GMT, followed by a press conference at 13:30 GMT.

Commentary –

• The euro consolidation is likely to continue unless the election uncertainties settle in the euro area. The focus is on ECB monetary policy today.

GBP/USD –

Trading at 1.215

Trend meter –

• Long term – Sell, Medium term – Sell, Short term – range/sell

Support –

• Long term – 1.16, Medium term – 1.2, Short term – 1.2

Resistance –

• Long term – 1.32, Medium term – 1.27, Short term – 1.25

Economic release today –

• RICS housing price balance came at 25 percent in February.

Commentary –

• The pound is the worst performer of the week, as Sturgeon threatens Scoxit. We expect the pound to reach parity in the longer run.

USD/JPY –                      

Trading at 114.7

Trend meter –

• Long term – Sell, Medium term – Range/ Buy, Short term – Range

Support –

• Long term – 107, Medium term – 109, Short term – 112

Resistance –

• Long term – 121, Medium term – 119, Short term – 115

Economic release today –

• Labor cash earnings rose by 0.5 percent y/y in January.

Commentary –

• The yen is heading for a test of support around 115 area.

USD/CHF –        

Trading at 1.014

Trend meter –

• Long term – Buy, Medium term – Range/Buy, Short term – Range

Support –

• Long term – 0.95, Medium term – 0.95, Short term – 0.98

Resistance –

• Long term – 1.08, Medium term – 1.037, Short term – 1.037

Economic release today –

• The unemployment rate came at 3.3 percent in February.

Commentary –

• Franc is a much worse performer than the euro this week.  Active call -Franc might decline to 1.08 per dollar. Target extended to 1.14