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Currency snapshot (major pairs)

Dollar index trading at 99.4 (+0.24%)

Strength meter (today so far) – Euro -0.35%, Franc -0.48%, Yen -0.54%, GBP -0.15%

Strength meter (since last week) – Euro -0.02%, Franc -0.83%, Yen -2.07%, GBP -0.19%

EUR/USD –

Trading at 1.089

Trend meter –

  • Long term – Sell, Medium term – Buy, Short term – Range

Support          

  • Long term – 1.032, Medium term – 1.05, Short term – 1.07

Resistance –

  • Long term – 1.12, Medium term – 1.10, Short term – 1.10

Economic release today –

  • NIL

Commentary –

  • The euro failed to gain on risk-on rally despite Macron win.

GBP/USD –

Trading at 1.292

Trend meter –

  • Long term – Sell, Medium term – Buy, Short term – Buy

Support –

  • Long term – 1.16, Medium term – 1.23, Short term – 1.27

Resistance –

  • Long term – 1.32, Medium term – 1.305, Short term – 1.305

Economic release today –

  • NIL

Commentary –

  • The pound continues to hover around key 1.3 level.  We expect the pound to reach parity in the longer run.

USD/JPY –           

Trading at 113.8

Trend meter –

  • Long term – Sell, Medium term – sell, Short term – Range

Support –

  • Long term – 107, Medium term – 107, Short term – 107

Resistance –

  • Long term – 119, Medium term – 115, Short term – 112

Economic release today –

  • Labor cash earnings declined 0.4 percent y/y in March.

Commentary –

  • The yen is the worst performer of the week so far due to risk affinity.

USD/CHF –        

Trading at 1.002

Trend meter –

  • Long term – Buy, Medium term – Range/Buy, Short term – Range

Support –

  • Long term – 0.95, Medium term – 0.95, Short term – 0.98

Resistance –

  • Long term – 1.08, Medium term – 1.037, Short term – 1.037

Economic release today –

  • Unemployment rate for April at 3.3 percent.

Commentary –

  • Franc is back below parity once again.  Active call -Franc might decline to 1.08 per dollar. Target extended to 1.14

 

 

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