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Disinflationary pressure persists in Germany

 

The German Producer price Index data was published today at 7 am GMT.

  • Latest report shows that PPI has decreased once more. MoM data came at -0.6% higher than expected -0.4% and YoY at -2.2% accelerating from the previous -1.7%.
  • The outlooks for inflation prompt the central bank to take up unprecedented step towards asset purchase which was announced in January and to start from March, 2015.
  • A chart is attached that show the path of the PPI over the last one year taking December 2013 as base year. It is falling and recent time has increased the pace. Part of such could be slippage of lower oil price but it is worth noting that it has been falling beforehand.
  • Euro so far has muted impact over the data, but the data points ahead will be ever more vital to watch out the effect of central bank purchase programme of 60 billion a month.

Outlook for the euro remains bearish against the dollar. Since we have been saying that at this euro valuation European assets look cheaper even at the backdrop of turmoil, European assets could see portfolio flows which will affect the euro short term.

 

 

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