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EUR/USD Dips Below 1.1500 Amidst Divergent Central Bank Policies and USD Strength

EURUSD trades well below 1.1500 on broad-based US dollar buying.  The pair hits an intraday low of 1.14573 and is currently trading around 1.14589.

 

Though both the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank are tightening monetary policy, their paths and underlying worries differ. The Fed has increased rates to 3.75% to 4.00% and forecasts another rise in 2026, with rates staying high until 2027, driven by persistent domestic inflation and backed by a stronger economy. Dealing with energy shocks and supply-chain restrictions pushing up prices, the ECB has increased its deposit rate to 2.50% and projects inflation to stay above target until 2028, with a weaker growth forecast than the United States. This difference—including a sizable policy-rate gap favoring the dollar—points to near-term vulnerability for EUR/USD unless the ECB indicates more forceful increases or the energy crisis passes without significant effects on growth. The Fed's most recent inflation data and the ECB's October meeting are two significant forthcoming indicators.

Technicals

CMP -1.14609

Trend

4-hour chart

Value

 

 

55 EMA

1.15510

CMP<value

Bearish

200- EMA

1.15687

CMP<value

Bearish

365- EMA

1.15593

CMP<value

Bearish

800-EMA

1.15726

CMP<value

Bearish

 

Major support- 1.14500/1.1430/1.1400/1.13500/1.13200. Near-term resistance-1.1500/1.15350/1.1565/1.1600.

 

Momentum indicator

Inference

Value

CCI(50)

Bearish

-109.27

ADX

Neutral

 

 

 

 

It is good to  sell on rallies around  1.14800 with SL around 1.15350  for a TP of 1.13200

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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