Polish retail sales in March were mainly driven by food products sales and other sales in non-specialized stores. Due to low oil prices it is likely that fuel sales dropped by around 14% yoy.
Societe Generale sees retail sales growth to accelerate to 1.2% in March from -1.3% in February. On a monthly basis, an increase of 15.0% due to the pick-up in sales before Easter.
Recent SAMAR data on car registrations were negative - there was a decrease of 3.8% yoy in March. The persistent lack of inflationary pressure and growing real disposable income should support consumer spending in the coming months.
Commentary
Easter period supports Polish retail sales growth in March
Polish retail sales in March were mainly driven by food products sales and other sales in non-specialized stores. Due to low oil prices it is likely that fuel sales dropped by around 14% yoy.Societe Generale sees retail …
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