For quite some time now, we have been writing and warning traders and investors of Emerging market bad debt, especially non-financial corporate sector vulnerability. According to Bank of International Settlements (BIS), as of second quarter 2015, about $4 trillion, Dollar debt is outstanding in emerging market, of which 12 countries account for 70% of the debt. Read more at http://www.econotimes.com/FED-liftoff-series-%E2%80%93-E-Dollar-trying-to-get-back-home-131992
While some might suggest that with Taper tantrum of 2013 and continued drop in emerging market (EM) currencies since then has done the necessary adjustment, however corporate sector blowout according to us could be much larger than all that.
We have listed in our previous article that EM bad debt is one of the two biggest risks heading into 2016.
Mexico's biggest construction company, ICA's case is a good example, why we are worried over this.
After false promises and several denials, Mexico's ICA has admitted that it will not pay $31 million in interest outstanding to $700 million worth of bonds. Last Friday, on the news, company's share price has plunged 24%.
ICA is only a small example to vast ocean of Dollar debt outstanding. In Mexico, total non-financial corporate debt outstanding as of second quarter this year stands at $259 billion and 66% of that are denominated in Dollar.
Not a good time for Dollar debt, when FED is on hike path and Dollar is in Bull cycle.


Asian Stocks Rebound as AI and Chip Shares Recover; Easing Iran Tensions Boost Sentiment
Oil Prices Rise as Iran-Israel Tensions Ease Following Trump-Led Ceasefire Push
China’s Cross-Border E-Commerce Faces Rising Costs and Slower Growth in 2026
South Korea Q1 GDP Growth Revised Higher as AI-Driven Exports Boost Economic Outlook
Gold Prices Hit 11-Week Low as Strong U.S. Jobs Data Dampens Rate Cut Hopes
US Stocks Rebound as Iran Eases Military Operations; Tech Shares Lead Wall Street Recovery
Goldman Sachs Sees U.S. Dollar Holding Firm as Strong Economic Data Supports Outlook
Gordie Howe International Bridge Set to Open, Boosting U.S.-Canada Trade Links
Asian Stocks Sink as AI Rally Cools and Middle East Tensions Rattle Markets
Switzerland Population Cap Referendum Sparks Economic and Immigration Debate
Japan Q1 2026 GDP Growth Revised Lower as Weak Investment and Middle East War Pressure Economy




