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FxWirePro: 20-DMA caps upside in EUR/NZD, good to go short on break below 1.6165

  • EUR/NZD upside was rejected shy of 20-DMA at 1.6455, intraday bias lower.
     
  • The pair finds strong support at 1.6167 (trendline support), break below could see further weakness.
     
  • Technical studies are biased lower, MACD supports trend lower. 
     
  • Break below 1.6167 to find next major support at daily cloud (1.60) ahead of 38.2% Fib at 1.5866.
     
  • On the flipside, we see upside only on break above 20-DMA at 1.6456. 
     
  • We note bearish divergence on Stochs which raises scope for downside in the pair.

Support levels - 1.6301 (5-DMA), 1.6181 (23.6% Fib retracement of 1.4534 to 1.6690 rise), 1.6165 (trendline), 1.60 (cloud top)

Resistance levels - 1.6455 (20-DMA), 1.65, 1.6690 (Sept 7th highs)

Recommendation: Good to go short on close below 1.6165, SL: 1.63, TP: 1.60/ 1.59/ 1.5866/ 1.5740

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