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FxWirePro: 50-DMA caps upside in NZD/USD, good to go long on break above

NZD/USD extends upside after a pause on Thursday, but upside seen capped by 50-DMA at 0.6836. Momentum studies point north, price action has entered daily cloud and cloud base (0.6804) now offers strong support. Resistan…

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FxWirePro: 50-DMA caps upside in NZD/USD, good to go long on break above
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  • NZD/USD extends upside after a pause on Thursday, but upside seen capped by 50-DMA at 0.6836.
     
  • Momentum studies point north, price action has entered daily cloud and cloud base (0.6804) now offers strong support.
     
  • Resistance on the upside seen at 0.6836 (50-DMA), 0.6848 (May 9th & 12th highs), 0.6878 (Apr 11th & 25th high).
     
  • US non-farm payrolls due later today and RBNZ’s meeting next week (which will be accompanied by a full Monetary Policy Statement) seen as major risk events.
     
  • We see a possible 'Bearish Cypher' pattern on NZD/USD daily charts (http://www.econotimes.com/FxWirePro-Possible-Bearish-Cypher-on-NZD-USD-dailies-216191) which is progressing.
     
  • Break above 50-DMA could accentuate upside, on the flipside, bullish invalidation below 21-DMA at 0.6770. 
     
  • US non-farm payrolls due later today and RBNZ’s meeting next week (which will be accompanied by a full Monetary Policy Statement) seen as major risk events.
     
  • The market prices only slightly more than a 20% chance of a cut at the meeting.
     

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