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FxWirePro: AUD/CAD extends 200-DMA breakout, eyes 61.8% Fib at 0.9979, stay long

  • AUD/CAD extends 200-DMA breakout, we see scope for further gains.
     
  • The pair has broken above 100-DMA and is on track to test 61.8% Fib at 0.9979.
     
  • Aussie spikes across the board after the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported a better-than-expected Australia first quarter GDP reading.
     
  • The economy expanded 1% q/q in Q1, slightly above the estimate of 0.9 percent, but well above the previous quarter's growth rate of 0.4 percent.
     
  • On the otherside, concerns over oil price declines weigh on CAD.
     
  • Oil prices weakened after reports that the U.S. has asked Saudi Arabia and some other OPEC producers to increase oil production.
     
  • Technical indicators are biased higher, momentum studies are bullish. We see weakness only on retrace below 200-DMA.
     
  • Market focus will remained locked onto the ongoing NAFTA talks and Canadian Unemployment figures on Friday.

Support levels - 0.9856 (nearly converged 5 and 100 DMAs), 0.9819 (200-DMA), 0.98

Resistance levels - 0.9931 (cloud top), 0.9979 (61.8% Fib), 1.00

Recommendation: Good to go long on dips around 0.9890/ 0.99, SL: 0.9855, TP: 0.9930/ 0.9980/ 1.00

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