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FxWirePro: AUD/CAD extends downside after bearish gap open, 100-DMA at 0.9986 in sight

AUD/CAD's recovery fails at 38.2% Fib retrace of 0.9644 to 1.0333 rally. Aussie dented after data released earlier today showed Australia home financing dropped in February for the first time in five months. The pair is …

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FxWirePro: AUD/CAD extends downside after bearish gap open, 100-DMA at 0.9986 in sight
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  • AUD/CAD's recovery fails at 38.2% Fib retrace of 0.9644 to 1.0333 rally.
     
  • Aussie dented after data released earlier today showed Australia home financing dropped in February for the first time in five months.
     
  • The pair is now extending downside after bearish gap down open.
     
  • Price action dips deeper into daily cloud, scope for test of 100-DMA at 0.9986.
     
  • Technical studies point to further downside, bearish RSI divergence adds downside bias.
     
  • Stochs and RSI are steeply inclined lower and MACD supports trend lower, bearish invalidation only on close above 5-DMA at 1.0104. 
     
  • Next major support lies at 100-DMA at 0.9986, further weakness only on break below.

Support levels - 1.0022 (Feb 24 low), 0.9986 (100-DMA), 0.9949 (cloud base)

Resistance levels - 1.0070 (38.2% Fib), 1.0104 (5-DMA), 1.0170 (23.6% Fib)

TIME  TREND INDEX  OB/OS INDEX    

1H          Bearish               Neutral       
4H          Neutral                Neutral       
1D          Bearish               Neutral        
1W         Bearish               Neutral      

Call update: Our previous call (http://www.econotimes.com/FxWirePro-AUD-CAD-dips-into-daily-cloud-on-track-to-test-100-DMA-at-09986-633303) has hit target TP1.

Recommendation: Bias lower, stay short.

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly AUD Spot Index was at -134.966 (Bearish), while Hourly CAD Spot Index was at 31.7544 (Neutral) at 0520 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex. 
 

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