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FxWirePro: AUD/CHF finds major resistance at 0.7540, further gains only on break above

  • AUD/CHF is struggling to extend positive momentum, slips lower from highs of 0.7546.
     
  • The pair finds major resistance at 0.7540 (converged 200-DMA and major trendline). We see further upside only on break above.
     
  • Aussie slumps across the board as Australia March retail sales data missed estimates by a big margin.
     
  • According to data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), retail sales stalled in March missing Reuters estimate of a 0.3% m/m growth.
     
  • Investors will now likely scale back the RBA tightening expectations in response to weak retail sales release.
     
  • Technical indicators do not show signs of reversal, but we evidence bearish divergence on Stochs which raises scope for downside.
     
  • 5-DMA at 0.7518 is immediate support, break below will see drag till cloud top. Breach at cloud top could see further weakness.

Support levels - 0.7519 (5-DMA), 0.75, 0.7481 (20-DMA)

Resistance levels - 0.7538 (200-DMA), 0.7567 (Apr 19 high), 0.76

Call update: Our previous call (https://www.econotimes.com/FxWirePro-AUD-CHF-breaks-out-of-daily-cloud-eyes-200-DMA-at-07540-stay-long-1290006) has hit TP1.

Recommendation: Book partial profits at highs, trail SL to 0.75. Watchout for break out at 0.7540 for further upside.

FxWirePro launches Absolute Return Managed Program. For more details, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/invest.
 

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