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FxWirePro: AUD/CHF hovers around 61.8% Fib, bias lower, stay short

  • AUD/CHF pauses downside and has edged higher as Aussies bulls found some respite from today's release of New Home Sales data.
     
  • Data released earlier today by Australia's Housing Industry Association showed a 0.8% m/m rise in new homes sales, posting a strong rebound from 1.1% fall seen in March.
     
  • The pair is currently hovering around 61.8% Fib retrace of 0.6752 to 0.7806 rise at 0.7155.
     
  • Technical indicators are bearishly aligned, scope for further downside intact.
     
  • Break below 0.7155 will see further drag. Bearish invalidation only on close above 20-DMA at 0.7305.
     
  • Slight rebound in Switzerland GDP after two disappointing quarters keeps CHF supported.
     
  • Data released yesterday showed Switzerland Gross Domestic Product (YoY) climbed from previous 0.6% to 1.1% in 1Q.

Support levels - 0.7155 (61.8% Fib), 0.7097 (June 24 2016 low), 0.7032 (June 16 2016 low)

Resistance levels - 0.7210 (5-DMA), 0.7235 (trendline support turned resistance), 0.7280 (50% Fib), 0.7296 (20-DMA)

Call update: Our previous call (http://www.econotimes.com/FxWirePro-AUD-CHF-breaks-major-support-at-07235-bias-lower-good-to-short-rallies-737400) has hit TP1.

Recommendation: Hold for further downside.

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly AUD Spot Index was at -159.306 (Bearish), while Hourly CHF Spot Index was at 38.525 (Neutral) at 0840 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex.

 

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