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FxWirePro: AUD/JPY recovery capped at 5-DMA, momentum studies bearish

  • AUD/JPY has been ranging sideways since last week's trade, capped below 50-DMA. 
     
  • We see that minor recovery attempts in the pair have failed to gather traction.
     
  • Technical indicators still remain bearish, Stochs and RSI are sharply lower and MACD shows bearish crossover.
     
  • Price action remains below daily Ichimoku cloud and major moving averages. 
     
  • Ongoing US-China trade war tensions continue hamper bullish attempts to push the Aussie higher.
     
  • Commodities prices stay under pressure, further constraining the Aussie across the broader markets.
     
  • Resumption of downside will likely see test of channel base at 80.70. Bearish invalidation above 20-DMA at 82.55.
     
  • On the data front Australia New Home Sales and Building Permits along with BoJ policy decision will be in focus. 
     
  • The BoJ is expected to justify prolonging the current monetary easing policy this week.
     
  • Building Permits are tentatively expected to remain steady at 0.0%, after the previous period's disappointing -3.2% contraction.

Support levels - 81.48 (Mar 5 low), 81 (May 30 low), 80.70 (channel base)

Resistance levels - 82.30 (5-DMA), 82.51 (50-DMA), 82.88 (July 25 high)

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly AUD Spot Index was at -67.8467 (Neutral), while Hourly JPY Spot Index was at 37.4651 (Neutral) at 0600 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex
 

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