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FxWirePro: AUD/NZD rejected at highs, slips below 5-DMA, intraday bias lower

AUD/NZD rejected at highs, upside fails below major trendline resistance at 1.0765. Aussie slips against major peers as Australia’s private capital expenditure data fails to meet expectations. Australia’s Q4 capital expe…

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FxWirePro: AUD/NZD rejected at highs, slips below 5-DMA, intraday bias lower
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  • AUD/NZD rejected at highs, upside fails below major trendline resistance at 1.0765.
     
  • Aussie slips against major peers as Australia’s private capital expenditure data fails to meet expectations.
     
  • Australia’s Q4 capital expenditure printed at -2.1 % missing forecast at -0.4 % vs previous -3.3 %.
     
  • Australia’s Q4 building capex also decreased to -4.1 % vs previous -3.6 %, while plant/machinery capex increased to 0.4 % vs previous -3 %.
     
  • Shooting star formation evidenced on dailies. RSI shows retracement from near overbought levels.
     
  • Momentum is fading and Stochs are on verge of bearish rollover from overbought levels.
     
  • The pair has slipped below 5-DMA and we see scope for test of 20-DMA at 1.0567.

Support levels - 1.0660 (session low), 1.0655 (38.2% Fib retrace of 1.1333 to 1.0237 fall), 1.06

Resistance levels - 1.0695 (5-DMA), 1.07, 1.0765 (trendline), 1.0785 (50% Fib)

TIME  TREND INDEX  OB/OS INDEX    

1H          Bullish                  Neutral       
4H          Bearish                Neutral       
1D          Neutral                 Neutral    
1W         Bullish                  Neutral    

Recommendation: We will wait for further confirmation on technicals to go short.

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly AUD Spot Index was at -25.4045(Neutral), while Hourly NZD Spot Index was at 145.676 (Highly bullish) at 0200 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex. 

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