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FxWirePro: AUD/USD edges higher as September RBA hike expectations builds

• AUD/USD edged higher   on Thursday as   strong Australian GDP data  strengthened the odds of an imminent rate hike by RBA

Australia’s economy grew faster than expected in the second quarter, with GDP rising 2.1% year on year, data released Wednesday showed.

On a quarter-on-quarter basis, GDP increased 0.4%, slightly above market expectations of 0.3%. Growth was supported by stronger private demand and higher mining exports.

•Australia’s July goods trade surplus came in at A$1.92 billion, above the A$1.45 billion consensus. However, goods exports fell 3.3% month-on-month, suggesting weaker external demand despite the larger trade surplus.

Markets are currently pricing a 61.0% probability of a 25-basis-point RBA rate hike in September.

• Immediate resistance is located at 0.7184(38.2%fib), any close above will push the pair towards 0.7219(Higher BB).

• Support is seen at 0.7121(38.2%fib) and break below could take the pair towards 0.7083 (May 21st low ).

 Recommendation: Good to buy  around 0.7150, with stop loss of 0.7100 and target price of 0.7220

 

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