Volumes & Vols spiking off: AUDUSD pair has been the highest IVs to perceive in next 1w-1m among G20 currency segment and is seen at 11.7-12% levels for 1m expiry.
Downside hedging sentiments are still lingering around pair, as a result ATM puts have been trading 23% more than NPV.
More importantly, for AUD, rate compression remains a bearish force for the currency, but in 2016 it will be driven by Fed hikes rather than RBA easing (we think the RBA is done).
The greatest difference, however, is the terms of trade, which we think is bottoming as iron ore prices move within a range and LNG exports rise, thus insulating the trade balance from higher oil prices next year.
By employing vega spreads with 1M At-The-Money vega puts and simultaneously short 4D ITM puts with positive theta values for net debit.
Considering the above aspects, on speculative grounds we recommend go long in one-touch binary puts on every rise in our strategy in order to extract leverage on extended profitability, targets around 25-30 pips.
The prime merits of such one touch option are high yields during high volatility plays. Wider spreads indicates lack of liquidity. The spreads for one touch AUD/USD options are constant time and barrier levels.
Usually, such binary options for every change in 1 pip the relative change in option price 0.01% or even exponential at high implied volatility times. You can see that in charts how every dips would propel Vega effects.


EURJPY Carves Triple Bottom at 180.20 – Bulls Ready to Storm 182-183 as Breakout Momentum Builds
GBPJPY Bulls on Guard: Buy the Dip at 206 as Support Holds Firm – Target 208 in Sight
AUDJPY Rangebound: Bulls Hold 102, Watch for Breakout Above 102.85
FxWirePro- Major European Indices
Yen Storm Hits EURJPY: Crashes Below 181 – Sell the Bounce Intraday! Target 179.50 with Tight Stop Above 181.45
NZDJPY Eyes Breakout: Buy the Dip as Bulls Guard 88.70
FxWirePro: USD/JPY dips below lower range, bearish bias increases
FxWirePro- Major US Indices
FxWirePro: NZD/USD sustains gains as uptrend remains strong
CAD/JPY Rockets on Blowout Canadian Jobs Surprise – Bulls Target 113-115 as BoC Cut Odds Collapse
FxWirePro: AUD/USD consolidates gains ,remains on positive footing
FxWirePro: USD/CAD downside pressure builds, key support level in focus
FxWirePro: EUR/NZD neutral in the near-term, scope for downward resumption
FxWirePro: GBP/AUD positions for another drop, eyes 2.0100 level
EURGBP Buckles Under Sterling Surge – Bears Eye 0.8600 as 0.8800 Ceiling Holds Firm
FxWirePro: EUR/AUD set To for bigger drop, but close below key fibo needed
FxWirePro- Major Pair levels and bias summary




