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FxWirePro: Aussie under pressure on weak trade balance data, good to short AUD/JPY rallies

Aussie remains under pressure as the series of weak data continue from Australia. Data released earlier today showed Australia trade surplus narrowed in October. October trade surplus registered at 105M, below expectatio…

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FxWirePro: Aussie under pressure on weak trade balance data, good to short AUD/JPY rallies
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  • Aussie remains under pressure as the series of weak data continue from Australia.
     
  • Data released earlier today showed Australia trade surplus narrowed in October.
     
  • October trade surplus registered at 105M, below expectations at 1375M, while exports dropped 3 percent.
     
  • AUD/JPY extending downside for 2nd consecutive session, after failing to hold break above 200-DMA on Tuesday's trade.
     
  • Price action capped below nearly 20 and 5-DMA at 85.23, price action currently hovers around 61.8% Fib support at 84.85.
     
  • The pair has been on a downward spiral since Sept 2017 and we see further weakness on break below 61.8% Fib.
     
  • On the flipside, we see further gains only on decisive close above 200-DMA. Scope then for test of 38.2% Fib at 86.93.

Support Levels: 84.85 (61.8% Fib retrace of 81.48 to 90.305 rally), 84.35 (Nov 27 low), 84, 83.37 (78.6% Fib)

Resistance Levels: 85.30 (20-DMA), 85.86 (200-DMA), 86.20 (Dec 5th high)

Recommendation: Good to go short on rallies around 84.90/ 85, SL: 85.90, TP: 84.35/ 84/ 83.40

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly AUD Spot Index was at -176.17 (Bearish), while Hourly JPY Spot Index was at 148.307 (Bullish) at 0400 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex.

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