FxWirePro- BTCUSD Daily Outlook

BTCUSD's price has traded in a narrow range between $43799 and $41759 for the past week.  It has pared some of its gains after hawkish comments from Fed Chairman Powell. It hit a low of $4228 yesterday and is currently trading around $ 43158.

The Bitcoin market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio falls below its 90-day  average over the past 12 months.

Factors to watch for Bitcoin price action-

  US markets -

 NASDAQ (negative correlation with BTC) - Bullish (neutral for BTC). The NASDAQ recovered sharply after Goldman Sachs upgraded the target of NVIDIA to $800 from $625. Any break above 17800 will take the index to 18000/18200.

    According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate cut in  Mar increased to 83.5% from 52.9% a week ago.

 Technicals-

BTCUSD trades above the short-term moving average (21 and 55 EMA) and above the long-term moving average (200 EMA) in the daily chart.

Minor support- $41700.  Any break below will take it to the next level at $41400/$40700/$38500.

 Bull case-

Primary supply zone -$44000.  Any surge past this level confirms an intraday bullishness. A jump to $45000/$46180/$49050 is possible.      

  Secondary barrier- $50000. A close above that barrier targets $52500/$60000.

 It is good to buy on dips around $42000 with SL around $40700 for TP of $50000.