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FxWirePro- BTCUSD Daily Outlook

BTCUSD showed a minor sell-off after upbeat US retail sales. It hit a low of  $57844 and is currently trading at around $58066.

 

4 hours ago, Mt_Gox transferred 13265 BTC to a fresh wallet. Later, the BTC could be transferred to exchanges like Bitstamp, BitGo, and Kraken.

 

According to from SoSoValue, 12 spot BTC ETF have seen an inflow of $88.06 million on Aug 21 increase of 42% compared to Aug 20th.

 

According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 25 bpbs rate cut in Sep increased to 67.5% from 47% a week ago.

 

US markets -

 

 NASDAQ (negative correlation with BTC) - Bearish  (neutral for BTC). The NASDAQ trades higher on upbeat market sentiment. Any close above 19600 will take the index to 20000.

 Technicals-

 

BTCUSD trades above the short-term moving average of 21 EMA and below 55 EMA and the long-term moving average (200 EMA) in the 4-hour chart.

 

Minor support- $57000.  Any break below will take it to the next level at $54500-/$53000/$50000/$46000.

 

 Bull case-

 

Primary supply zone -$63000.  Any break above confirms a bullish continuation. A jump to $65000/$67000/$70000 is possible.      

 

  Secondary barrier- $70000. A close above that barrier targets $750000/$80000.

 

 It is good to buy on dips around $55000 with SL around $52000 for TP of $63000/$67000.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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