Technicals / Digital Currency

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FxWirePro- BTCUSD Daily Outlook

BTCUSD trades weak after US NFP data. It hit a low of $52530 and is currently trading at around $55268. US economy added 142k new jobs in Aug, below the forecast of 160K. Unemployment ticked lower to 4.2% from 4.3%. BTC …

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FxWirePro- BTCUSD Daily Outlook
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BTCUSD trades weak after US NFP data. It hit a low of  $52530 and is currently trading at around $55268.

US economy added 142k new jobs in Aug, below the forecast of 160K. Unemployment ticked lower to 4.2% from 4.3%.

 

BTC ETF has seen outflows of $1.2 billion between Aug 30th and Sep 6th. BTC Whales bought 4014 BTC valued at $227.7 million last week. 

 

According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 25 bpbs rate cut in Sep increased to 75% from 70% a week ago.

 

US markets -

 

 NASDAQ (negative correlation with BTC) - Bearish  (neutral for BTC). The NASDAQ trades weak after mixed  US Non-Farm- Payroll data. Any close below 18000 will take the index to 17400.

 

 Technicals-

 

BTCUSD trades below the short-term moving average 34- EMA and 55 EMA and the long-term moving average (200 EMA) in the 4-hour chart.

 

In daily chart also BTC holds below short and long-term moving averages. This confirms a minor weakness.

 

Minor support- $52000.  Any break below will take it to the next level at $50000/$46000.

 

 Bull case-

 

Primary supply zone -$57000.  Any break above confirms an intraday bullishness. A jump to $60000/$61800/$63000/$65000/$67000/$70000 is possible.      

 

  Secondary barrier- $70000. A close above that barrier targets $750000/$80000.

 

Indicator (1-hour chart)

 

CCI (14)- Bullish

 

CCI (50)- Bullish

 

Average directional movement Index - Bullish

 

 It is good to buy on dips around $54500 with SL around $52000 for TP of $63000.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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