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FxWirePro- BTCUSD Daily Outlook

BTCUSD trades flat despite mixed US PPI. It hit a high of  $58470 and is currently trading at around $57693.

 

Time (GMT)

Currency

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

12:30 pm

US

PPI  y/y

1.7%

1.8%

2.2%

 

 

Core PPI y/y

2.4%

2.5%

2.4%

 

 

PPI m/m

0.20%

0.10%

0%

 

 

Core PPI m//m

0.30%

0.20%

0%

 

US

Unemployment claims

230K

227K

228K

BTC ETF has seen outflows of $43.97 million on Wednesday mainly led by ARK Invest recorded $54.03 million, According to SoSoValue.

 

Coinglass’s Binance BTC Long to Short ratio above 1 indicates bullishness.

 

According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 25 bpbs rate cut in Sep increased to 67% from 56% a week ago.

 

US markets -

 

 NASDAQ (No correlation with BTC) - Bearish  (neutral for BTC). The NASDAQQ trades flat ahead of US CPI. Any close below 18000 will take the index to 17400.

 Technicals-

 

BTCUSD trades above the short-term moving average 34- EMA and 55 EMA and below the long-term moving average (200 EMA) in the 4-hour chart.

 

In the daily chart, BTC holds below short and long-term moving averages. This confirms minor weakness.

 

Minor support- $55000.  Any break below will take it to the next level at $52500/$50000/$46000.

 

 Bull case-

 

Primary supply zone -$58975.  Any break above confirms an intraday bullishness. A jump to $60000/$61800/$63000/$65000/$67000/$70000 is possible.      

 

  Secondary barrier- $70000. A close above that barrier targets $750000/$80000.

 

Indicator (4-hour chart)

 

CCI (14)- Neutral

 

CCI (50)- Bullish

 

Average directional movement Index - Neutral

 

 

 

 It is good to  buy on dips around $55000 with SL around $52000 for TP of $67000.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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