FxWirePro- BTCUSD Daily Outlook

BTCUSD  is trading weak on weak market sentiment. It hit a low of  $64093  yesterday  and is currently trading around $65366

According to fairside data, BTC ETF has seen an outflow of $145.9 million, the third consecutive outflow and the fifth in the past six days. The outflow was mainly due to the hawkish rate pause by the Fed.

 US markets -

 NASDAQ (negative correlation with BTC) - Bullish (neutral for BTC). The NASDAQ hits a fresh all-time high ahead of US retail sales.  Any close above 20300 will take the index to 22500.

According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 25 bpbs rate cut in Sep increased to 57.50% from 45.10% a week ago.

Technicals-

BTCUSD trades above the short-term moving average (21 and 55 EMA) and the long-term moving average (200 EMA) in the 4-hour chart.

Minor support- $65000.  Any break below will take it to the next level at  $63000/$60000/$56000/$50000.

 Bull case-

Primary supply zone -$70000.  Any break above confirms a bullish continuation. A jump to $75000 is possible.      

  Secondary barrier- $75000. A close above that barrier targets $100000.

 It is good to buy on dips around $65000 with SL around $63000 for TP of $75000.