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FxWirePro: Bearish RSI divergence on GBP/NZD, break below 20-DMA to see further downside

Geopolitical tensions continue to hold the centre stage in Europe which along with Brexit negotiations are likely to keep upside in GBP limited. Technically we see a bearish RSI divergence from price action. While price …

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FxWirePro: Bearish RSI divergence on GBP/NZD, break below 20-DMA to see further downside
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  • Geopolitical tensions continue to hold the centre stage in Europe which along with Brexit negotiations are likely to keep upside in GBP limited.
     
  • Technically we see a bearish RSI divergence from price action.
     
  • While price action is making higher highs, RSI has failed to converge with flatter to lower highs.
     
  • On a longer term EM and higher yielding currencies like the NZD to get more attractive as U.S. economy continues recovery.
     
  • GBP/NZD is extending choppy trade above 200-DMA. Decisive break below could see resumption of downside.

Support levels - 1.7761 (20-DMA), 1.7681 (200-DMA), 1.7650 (Mar 29 low)

Resistance levels - 1.7868 (5-DMA), 1.79, 1.7945 (trendline), 1.80 (Dec 5, 2017 high)

TIME  TREND INDEX  OB/OS INDEX    

1H          Neutral               Neutral       
4H          Neutral               Neutral       
1D          Neutral               Neutral        
1W         Neutral               Neutral      

Recommendation: Watchout for break below 200-DMA to see downtrend.

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly GBP Spot Index was at -32.5202 (Neutral), while Hourly NZD Spot Index was at -2.67834 (Neutral) at 0615 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex. 
 

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