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FxWirePro: Bid tone in AUD/USD intact ahead of RBA, takes out 0.77 handle

  • AUD/USD breaks major resistance at 0.7685 and extends gains to take out the 0.77 handle.
     
  • Upside in the pair seems to gain momentum as we head into RBA rate decision due at 0430 GMT today.
     
  • Aussie bulls continue to cheer upbeat Australian building approvals data, which staged a solid rebound in March. 
     
  • Building consents rose 3.7% m/m in March, following a revised 3.1% increase in February, and coming in much better than the forecast of a 1.8% decline.
     
  • Broad US dollar weakness across the board in light of a recovery in commodities also supporting upside in the pair.
     
  • Very low inflation number had raised the odds of a rate cut, but an overall positive business environment exacerbates the dilemma for the RBA.
     
  • Markets are pricing in a strong chance of a cut (circa 60%). Either way, a sharp response from the AUD is assured. 
     
  • Technically the pair is poised for upside. It has broken major trendline resistance at 0.7685 and is holding above 0.77 handle.
     
  • Immediate resistance and support are seen at 0.7716 (April 13th highs) and 0.7687 (10-DMA). We see weakness on breaks below 0.7680 levels.
     

Recommendation: Good to buy dips around 0.77 levels, SL: 0.7670, TP: 0.7730/0.7760/0.7775
 

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