WTI crude oil is consolidating in a narrow range between $76.67 and $79.93 for the past week. It hit a high of $79.81 yesterday and is currently trading at $78.79.
According to the Energy Information Agency (EIA), Global Crude oil inventories increased by 34.6 mb in March to a fresh post-pandemic high. According to preliminary data, global oil stocks rose further in Apr.
Markets eye FOMC member Waller for further movement.
Major factors for crude oil price movement-
US dollar index (Bearish)- positive for Crude.
Major resistance - 105.75/106.50.
Major support- 105/103.80.
Geopolitical tension- ceasefire talks stalled. (positive for crude).
Ichimoku analysis (4- hour chart)
Tenken-Sen- $78.99
Kijun-Sen- $78.24
The immediate resistance is around $80. Any jump above the target of $80.55/$81.20/$82/$82.53/$83. On the lower side, near-term support is around $77.90. Any breach below will drag the commodity down to $76.70/$75/$74.
It is good to sell on rallies around $80 with SL around $82 for a TP of $75.
