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FxWirePro: EUR/CAD bounces off 20-DMA, but bearish divergence keeps scope for downside

EUR/CAD holds 20-DMA support, we see weakness on break below. OPEC supply cut extension has disappointed the oil market, CAD dented as oil slips lower. The Canadian dollar supported by BoC positive statements post meetin…

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  • EUR/CAD holds 20-DMA support, we see weakness on break below.
     
  • OPEC supply cut extension has disappointed the oil market, CAD dented as oil slips lower.
     
  • The Canadian dollar supported by BoC positive statements post meeting where it held rates unchanged overnight.
     
  • Brent oil regained bid tone as OPEC disappointment-led slide stalls. EUR/CAD muted on the day, reversing slightly from Thursday's high.
     
  • Draghi's comments keep pressure on the euro, keeping potential for drag lower.
     
  • EUR/CAD remains capped below 61.8% Fibo 1.6105 to 1.3784 fall at 1.5218. Upside only on break above.
     
  • Further, price action is showing a bearish divergence from RSI and Stochs which adds to the downside bias.

Support levels - 1.51, 1.5026 (20-DMA), 1.4944 (50% Fibo 1.6105 to 1.3784 fall), 1.49, 1.4823 (May 10 low)

Resistance levels - 1.5142 (May 24 high), 1.5218 (61.8% Fib), 1.5281 (Nov 9 high)

Recommendation: Watch out for break below 20-DMA to go short.

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly EUR Spot Index was at 18.555 (Neutral), while Hourly CAD Spot Index was at -75.846 (Bearish) at 0900 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex.

 

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