The implied volatilities of ATM contracts are just shy above 7% for next 3 months tenors, whereas risk reversals have been bearish neutral.
So if anyone believes it can still be possible to pull out returns from this dubious scene from this pair, even though exhausted bulls who think long lasting non-stop streak of bull run to take halt at this point. Yes, that's quite achievable from iron butterfly strategy.
At Spot ref: 1.0899, diagonal iron butterfly strategy (EUR/CHF) can be executed as shown below,
Long 2M (1%) OTM -0.27 delta put & 2W Short ATM put with positive theta or closer zero + 2W Short ATM Call with positive theta or at zero& Long 2M (1%) OTM 0.27 delta call.
A delta neutral trading strategy in this case involves the buying of a theoretically underpriced option while taking an opposite position in EURCHF options.
Well, thereby, a common question pops up after this explanation, "How do I know if an option is theoretically underpriced?" I prefer to use Option Greeks platform that provides this information.
Comparing reasonable delta contents, ATM IVs and option premiums with net present values of such premiums, will give you the theoretical price of an option.
In iron butterfly, there is high probability of deriving certain yields as it contains both bull call and bear put spreads, hence it would likely yield variant payoffs from classic butterfly spreads.
Alternatively, those who are aggressively dubious on bearish swings, debit put spread shall be used over Protective Put as the premiums on naked puts prove too costlier.
Bear Put Spread = Long 1M ATM -0.49 delta Put + Short 1W (1%) OTM Put with lower Strike Price with net delta should be at -0.40.
For a net debit bear put spread reduces the cost of hedge by the premium collected (on the shorts of OTM put) and keeps hedger to participate on upward moves but it comes at the expense of Partial hedge rather than a complete hedge.


Bitcoin Reclaims $65,000 as Easing Geopolitical Tensions Fuel Risk-On Rally
DAX & CAC40 Score Perfect 100: Extremely Bullish With Major Levels to Watch as FTSE100 Hits 80
FxWirePro- Major Crypto levels and bias summary
FxWirePro- Major Crypto levels and bias summary
FxWirePro: USD/JPY holds tight range ahead of key U.S. payrolls data
FxWirePro: USD/ZAR gains some ground, but downtrend remains
FxWirePro: USD/CNY slips as strong China exports data Lift yuan
EURGBP Bears Break Trendline: Sell Rallies at 0.8578 as Support Breach Eyes 0.8450 Slide
FxWirePro : EUR/NZD slips lower after soft US jobs report
FxWirePro: EUR/ AUD neutral in the near term, scope further downside
FxWirePro- Major Pair levels and bias summary
FxWirePro: EUR/AUD slips after surprise U.S. employment data
FxWirePro: GBP/AUD eases slightly, focus on near-term support
FxWirePro: NZD/USD retreats as Middle East instability weighs
FxWirePro: GBP/AUD under pressure after disappointing U.S. employment data
FxWirePro: GBP/USD eases as dollar firms ahead of U.S. June non-farm payrolls report




