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FxWirePro: EUR/JPY extends grind below weekly 200-SMA, finds support at 129.28 (weekly 5-SMA)

EUR/JPY is extending consolidation phase below weekly 200-SMA at 130.60. We see further bullishness only on break above. Political uncertainty in the US keeps risk-off in markets, supporting the yen on one hand. While on…

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FxWirePro: EUR/JPY extends grind below weekly 200-SMA, finds support at 129.28 (weekly 5-SMA)
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  • EUR/JPY is extending consolidation phase below weekly 200-SMA at 130.60. We see further bullishness only on break above.
     
  • Political uncertainty in the US keeps risk-off in markets, supporting the yen on one hand.
     
  • While on the other, weak Japanese manufacturing growth and reduction in JGB purchases by the BoJ keep the yen subdued.
     
  • Break above weekly 200-SMA raises scope for test of 134.24 (78.6% Fib retrace of 141.05 to 109.205 fall).
     
  • Momentum studies are bullish, RSI strong around 68 and MACD supports uptrend.
     
  • 20-DMA at 129.08 is strong support, break below could see minor weakness upto 126 levels.
     
  • Focus now on PMI numbers form the eurozone, better-than-expected German and EZ PMI numbers could support the euro higher.
     

Support levels - 129.51 (5-DMA), 129.08 (20-DMA), 128.88 (60.8% Fib retrace of 141.05 to 109.20 fall)

Resistance levels - 130, 130.60 (weekly 200-SMA), 132 (Feb 2016 high)

Recommendation: Watch out for break above weekly 200-SMA to go long. 

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