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FxWirePro: EUR/USD pauses decline, downside risk remains

The EUR /USD pair declined on Monday as the single currency was pressured by nervousness over the upcoming French presidential election as investors took stock of polls showing a tightening race. Investors are closely fo…

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  • The EUR /USD pair declined on Monday as the single currency was pressured by nervousness over the upcoming French presidential election as investors took stock of polls showing a tightening race.
     
  • Investors are closely following the campaign as one candidate far-right leader Marine Le Pen has promised a referendum on France's membership of the European Union if she wins, fuelling concerns of an unravelling of the bloc after Britain's vote to leave last year.
     
  • Polls have for weeks shown Le Pen and centrist Emmanuel Macron on track to top the first round of voting on April 23 and go through to the May 7 run-off. However, two less fancied candidates, Francois Fillon and Jean-Luc Melenchon held mass rallies on Sunday, making it an increasingly tight race.
     
  • The ongoing weakness is set to continue for this pair as the resistance level at 1.0664 is likely to act as strong barrier to the bulls and bring a further decline towards lower levels.
     
  • To the upside, the immediate resistance can be seen at 1.0613, a break above this level would expose the pair to next resistance level at 1.0664.
     
  • To the downside, immediate support can be seen at 1.0561, a break below at this level will open the door towards next level at 1.0500.

    Resistance Levels

    R1:  1.0613 (50% Retracement level)       

    R2: 1.0664 (61.8% Retracement level)    

    R3: 1.0700 (Psychological level)

    Support Levels

    S1: 1.0561 (38.2% Retracement level)                    

    S2: 1.0500 (23.6% Retracement level)

    S3: 1.0449 (Jan 11th low)

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