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FxWirePro: EUR/USD rallies above 1.0640 but reversal is likely

  • The EUR/USD pair rose higher on Monday as dollar dipped on concerns over overseas geopolitical risks drove investors to safer assets.
     
  • North Korea on Sunday made what was believed to be a failed missile test launch, increasing geopolitical risks. Regional tensions have risen over the past weeks as U.S. President Donald Trump has taken a tough rhetorical line with Pyongyang.
     
  • Already bruised by worries over North Korea, investor sentiment on dollar took a further hit on weak U.S. economic data.
     
  • U.S. retail sales fell for the second straight month in March and consumer prices dropped for the first time in just over a year, a report from the Commerce Department showed on Friday.
     
  • However, further upside in this pair is set to be limited as strong resistance at 1.0696 is set to limit upside and bring decline towards lower levels in the short term.
     
  • To the upside, the immediate resistance can be seen at 1.0647, a break above this level would expose the pair to next resistance level at 1.0696.
     
  • To the downside, immediate support can be seen at 1.0588, a break below at this level will open the door towards next level at 1.0530.

    Resistance Levels

    R1:  1.0647 (38.2% Retracement level)   

    R2: 1.0696 (50% Retracement level)        

    R3: 1.0747 (61.8% Retracement level)

    Support Levels

    S1: 1.0588 (23.6% Retracement level)                    

    S2: 1.0530 (March 8th lows)

    S3: 1.0447 (Jan 11th lows)

 

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