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Ichimoku analysis (4-hour chart)
Tenken-Sen- 1.08267
Kijun-Sen- 1.08836
EURUSD hits a multi-week low on board-based US dollar buying. It hit a low of 1.07660 and is currently trading around 1.07792.
German IFO business climate declined to 85.70 in August, compared to a forecast of 86.70.
The number of people who have filed unemployment benefits the week ending Aug 19 to 23000 compared to a forecast of 239000. US durable goods orders fell 5.2% in July vs. -4 expected.
Markets eye US Fed chairman speech in Jackson Hole symposium for further movement.
Major economic data to watch today
Aug 25th, 2023, Jackson Hole Symposium Powell speech (2:05 pm GMT)
According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate hike in Sep decreased to 80.50% from 88% a week ago.
The US 10-year yield showed a minor jump ahead of Powell's speech. The US 10 and 2-year spread widened to -78% from -66%.
The pair trades below short-term 21 EMA, 55 EMA, and long-term (200-EMA) in the 4-hour chart. Any indicative break below 1.0830 confirms further bearishness: a decline to 1.0760/1.0700 is possible. The near-term resistance is around 1.0920. The breach above targets 1.0950/1.1000/ 1.1070/1.1100/1.1150.
Indicator (4-hour chart)
CCI – bearish
Directional movement index – Bearish
It is good to sell on rallies around 1.0828-30 with SL around 1.0880 for a TP of 1.0700.
