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FxWirePro: Forex Daily Update

The US dollar index showed a minor pullback ahead of the US CPI.  Any weak US inflation data will increase the chance of a rate cut by the Fed. It hit a high of 102.93 and is currently trading around 102.824.

 

According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate cut in  Mar decreased to 97% from 98% a week ago.

 

 The US 10-year yields pared most of its gains ahead of US CPI.  The US 10 and 2-year spread narrowed to -43.80% from -53%.

 

Major resistance- 104.25/105

 

Major support- 102.30/101.60.

 

EURUSD-

 

EURUSD consolidates in a narrow range after a minor pullback. Major European economic data to watch  

 

German final CPI m/m

 

Major resistance-1.09500,1.100

 

Major support- 1.0850,1.0760

 

Yen-

 

The yen showed a minor weakness after dovish comments from the BOJ governor. Any break below 146.40 confirms minor bearishness.

 

Major Resistance- 150,151

 

Major support- 146.40,145

 

Canadian Dollar

 

The Canadian dollar declined slightly despite strong Canadian jobs data.   Strong crude oil also supports the Canadian dollar at lower levels.

 

Resistance- 1.3550,1.3600

 

Major support- 1.3435,1.3380

 

 

 

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