Geopolitical Shocks That Could Reshape Financial Markets in 2025 
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UBS Predicts Potential Fed Rate Cut Amid Strong US Economic Data 
Stock Futures Dip as Investors Await Key Payrolls Data 
The US dollar index lost its shine on easing geopolitical tension. It hit a low of 105.85 at the time of writing and is currently trading around 105.89.
Fed Cleveland president Mester said that We Want To Get More Information Before We Can Say Inflation Is On A Sustainable Path To 2% and current inflation is higher than expected.
According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate cut in June increased to 83.2% from 82.7% a day ago.
Major resistance- 106.50/107
Major support- 105.35/104.45
Economic data for the day
US Philly Fed Manufacturing Index (12:30 pm GMT)
US unemployment claims (12:30 pm GMT)
EURUSD-
EURUSD halted its one-week bearish trend and showed a minor pullback. ECB executive board member Piero Cipollone said "If the incoming data in June and July confirm that confidence about the target improves, it will be appropriate to remove some restrictive measures imposed in 2023.
Major resistance-1.0700,1.0760
Major support- 1.0600,1.0500
Yen-
The pair showed a minor decline on BOJ Fx intervention. Any break above 155 confirms minor bullishness.
Major Resistance- 155,156
Major support- 153.70,152.68
Canadian Dollar
The Canadian dollar gained momentum despite strong crude oil prices. Any break below 1.3750 confirms further bearishness
Resistance- 1.3865,1.3950
Major support- 1.3750,1.3700
