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FxWirePro: GBP/AUD loses momentum but bullish setup remains


• GBP/AUD dipped lower  on Monday as escalating tensions in the Middle East dampened risk appetite, pushing investors toward commodity-linked currencies like the Australian dollar 

• Geopolitical risks remained elevated as the Israel-Iran conflict showed little progress toward de-escalation.

• Escalating geopolitical tensions added a fresh layer of uncertainty to an already fragile global economy, sending oil prices higher just as G7 leaders prepare to meet.

• With global markets on edge, the Bank of England will join other central banks this week in delivering its latest policy decision.

• Money markets widely expect the Bank of England to hold interest rates at 4.25% on Thursday, while pricing in two 25 basis point cuts by year-end — with the next likely coming in September.

•  Immediate resistance is located at 2.0843(50% fib), any close above will push the pair towards 2.0930(38.2% fib).

• Strong support is seen at 2.0762(61.8% fib) and break below could take the pair towards 2.0718(Lower BB).

Recommendation: Good to buy   around 2.0790, with stop loss of 2.0700 and target price of 2.0880

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