ATM IVs of 1W expiries are almost shy below 12%, and 11.70% for 1M tenor.
With the momentum in long term bear trend being intensified, technically the pair has broken crucial supports,
If you have to evaluate the ATM IVs with the monthly technical chart, the prevailing bearish swings have convincingly shown their effects.
Aussie dollar against sterling has been gaining consistently (so far 3.48% in this month while articulating) as both all technical and fundamental environments are still signalling selling sentiments in GBPAUD.
If IV is high, it means the market thinks the price has potential for large movement trend direction. In GBPAUD case, as you can probably guess where would spot FX head towards considering the IVs and technical indications shown in the diagram.
As IV increases along with the anticipated direction in trend (which is happening in GBPAUD case) and if you are holding a put option, that's conducive for put option holder.
Because your options with a higher IV cost more which means more positive cash inflow is likley.
Sensitivity tool: In addition to that, as shown in the diagram, if you have to optimise these favourable vols, consider the premiums with probabilistic numbers in distinctive scenarios of OTM strikes.
(At spot FX 1.8796, as it travels towards OTM strikes (see through OTM strikes and their probability numbers), this means more chances of expiring in the money and huge changes in premiums, so these options pricing seems reasonable, but same is not the case with lower strikes.
Hence, the OTM options pricing seems reasonable in bearish hedging strategies, which means more likelihood of these puts expiring in the money.
Hence, we recommend initiating longs in 1M (1%) OTM -0.37 delta put, 1 lot of 2W ATM -0.49 delta put and simultaneously short 1 lot of 1W (1%) ITM put in the ratio of 2:1.
The upper strike short puts finance the purchase of the greater number of long calls and the position is entered for reduced cost.


FxWirePro: GBP/NZD steadies around 2.3350 , retains bid tone
FxWirePro- Major Pair levels and bias summary
FxWirePro: NZD/USD remains soft as US bond bloodbath dominates
USD/CHF Bulls Eye 0.8400 Breakout as Broad Dollar Demand Drives 100-Pip Surge
FxWirePro: USD/CAD extends advance as falling oil prices pressures commodity-linked loonie
FxWirePro: USD/JPY loses momentum but outlook is bullish
FxWirePro- Major Crypto levels and bias summary
ETHUSD Surges Past $2700 on Strong Institutional Demand, Technicals Show Bullish Crossover Despite Cooling ETF Inflow Momentum
FxWirePro: GBP/AUD firms slightly, but downward resumption looks likely
Extremely Bearish JPY Majors: GBPJPY, NZDJPY, AUDJPY Lead the Decline
FxWirePro- Major Pair levels and bias summary
NZDJPY Plunges Below 90 Amidst Broad New Zealand Dollar Weakness; Resistance at 90.80 Key for Downside Continuation
FxWirePro: GBP/AUD struggle to extend its recovery, good to sell on rally
FxWirePro- Woodies Pivot(Majors)
FxWirePro: GBP/NZD sustains gains as uptrend remains strong
FxWirePro: USD/CAD hits two month high as Canadian as retail sales post monthly decline




