ATM IVs of 1W expiries are almost shy below 12%, and 11.70% for 1M tenor.
With the momentum in long term bear trend being intensified, technically the pair has broken crucial supports,
If you have to evaluate the ATM IVs with the monthly technical chart, the prevailing bearish swings have convincingly shown their effects.
Aussie dollar against sterling has been gaining consistently (so far 3.48% in this month while articulating) as both all technical and fundamental environments are still signalling selling sentiments in GBPAUD.
If IV is high, it means the market thinks the price has potential for large movement trend direction. In GBPAUD case, as you can probably guess where would spot FX head towards considering the IVs and technical indications shown in the diagram.
As IV increases along with the anticipated direction in trend (which is happening in GBPAUD case) and if you are holding a put option, that's conducive for put option holder.
Because your options with a higher IV cost more which means more positive cash inflow is likley.
Sensitivity tool: In addition to that, as shown in the diagram, if you have to optimise these favourable vols, consider the premiums with probabilistic numbers in distinctive scenarios of OTM strikes.
(At spot FX 1.8796, as it travels towards OTM strikes (see through OTM strikes and their probability numbers), this means more chances of expiring in the money and huge changes in premiums, so these options pricing seems reasonable, but same is not the case with lower strikes.
Hence, the OTM options pricing seems reasonable in bearish hedging strategies, which means more likelihood of these puts expiring in the money.
Hence, we recommend initiating longs in 1M (1%) OTM -0.37 delta put, 1 lot of 2W ATM -0.49 delta put and simultaneously short 1 lot of 1W (1%) ITM put in the ratio of 2:1.
The upper strike short puts finance the purchase of the greater number of long calls and the position is entered for reduced cost.


FxWirePro: EUR/AUD set To for bigger drop, but close below key fibo needed
FxWirePro: GBP/NZD edges higher but bearish outlook persists
FxWirePro- Major European Indices
FxWirePro: NZD/USD sustains gains as uptrend remains strong
FxWirePro- Woodies Pivot(Major)
GBPJPY Bulls on Guard: Buy the Dip at 206 as Support Holds Firm – Target 208 in Sight
EURGBP Buckles Under Sterling Surge – Bears Eye 0.8600 as 0.8800 Ceiling Holds Firm
FxWirePro- Major Pair levels and bias summary
FxWirePro: AUD/USD consolidates gains ,remains on positive footing
EURJPY Carves Triple Bottom at 180.20 – Bulls Ready to Storm 182-183 as Breakout Momentum Builds
FxWirePro- Major US Indices
Ethereum Holds Firm Above $3,100 Despite Dip – Fresh Breakout to $3,600+ Looming as Bulls Defend Key Support
FxWirePro: GBP/AUD positions for another drop, eyes 2.0100 level
FxWirePro: USD/CAD downside pressure builds, key support level in focus
FxWirePro: EUR/NZD neutral in the near-term, scope for downward resumption
AUDJPY Eyes New Highs: Bulls Hold 102 Support, Target 104




