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FxWirePro: GBP/CAD bears on track to break trendline support at 1.7165 on weak UK retail sales, dip till 61.8% Fib at 1.6822 likely

GBP under pressure after UK’s Retail Sales came in below expectations for the month of June. UK monthly retail sales data showed an unexpected decline of 0.5% m/m in June. Meanwhile, core retail sales, stripping the auto…

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FxWirePro: GBP/CAD bears on track to break trendline support at 1.7165 on weak UK retail sales, dip till 61.8% Fib at 1.6822 likely
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  • GBP under pressure after UK’s Retail Sales came in below expectations for the month of June.
     
  • UK monthly retail sales data showed an unexpected decline of 0.5% m/m in June. 
     
  • Meanwhile, core retail sales, stripping the auto motor fuel sales, dropped 0.6% m/m.
     
  • Weak retail sales along with disappointing inflation data have further dampened prospects for a BoE rate hike move in August. 
     
  • Further, Brexit jitters and political uncertainty around May’s government keep the British Pound under heavy pressure.
     
  • GBP/CAD is extending weakness below 200-DMA and daily cloud, bias remains bearish.
     
  • Momentum studies are bearish. RSI is below 50 mark and we see -ve DMI dominance.
     
  • Break below trendline support at 1.7165 will see further weakness. Dip till 61.8% Fib likely.
     
  • While on the upside, we see bearish invalidation only above 200-DMA.

Support levels - 1.7165 (trendline), 1.71, 1.7054 (May 30 low), 1.6915 (Dec 6, 2017 low)

Resistance levels - 1.7299 (5-DMA), 1.7362 (21-EMA), 1.7368 (200-DMA)

Call update: Our previous call (https://www.econotimes.com/FxWirePro-GBP-CAD-finds-strong-support-at-200-DMA-17321-good-to-go-short-on-break-below-1398084) is progressing well. 

Recommendation: Stay short for targets. 
 

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