2025 Market Outlook: Key January Events to Watch 
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Gold Cracks Below $4,500 as Safe-Haven Shine Fades; Technical Breakdown Signals Sell-on-Rallies Toward $4,000 
Global Bond Selloff Pressures Stocks as Rising Oil Prices Fuel Inflation Fears 
Fed May Resume Rate Hikes: BofA Analysts Outline Key Scenarios 
US Gas Market Poised for Supercycle: Bernstein Analysts 
Detroit’s high property taxes are driving a housing affordability crisis – how can city leaders bring down costs? 
US Futures Rise as Investors Eye Earnings, Inflation Data, and Wildfire Impacts 
Mega IPOs Like SpaceX and OpenAI Could Reshape S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Portfolios in 2026 
Macquarie Names Five Taiwan AI Stocks Set to Benefit From Data Center Growth in 2026 
S&P 500 Relies on Tech for Growth in Q4 2024, Says Barclays 
UBS Predicts Potential Fed Rate Cut Amid Strong US Economic Data 
Urban studies: Doing research when every city is different 
Moody's Upgrades Argentina's Credit Rating Amid Economic Reforms 
Stock Futures Dip as Investors Await Key Payrolls Data 
In FX markets, GBP retained a firm tone in European trade on Wednesday supported by British PM Theresa May’s unexpected call for a snap general election on June 8 seeking a stronger mandate for the ruling Conservative Party ahead of the upcoming Brexit negotiations. Elsewhere, prevailing geopolitical jitters continued to support top-rated sovereign bonds. Looking at the day ahead, the Fed is scheduled to release the latest Beige Book and Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren will speak about the US economy.
The global savings glut is reviving after a period of hibernation following the global financial crisis (GFC). The absolute level of East Asian current account surpluses in nominal US dollar terms has climbed beyond the previous high in 2006, while the rise of Western European surpluses has been striking.
The surge in European surpluses since 2006 has more than offset the collapse in Gulf surpluses following the drop in crude oil prices. The US still has the largest current account deficit, but its dominant position has slid compared to a decade ago.
The current account is fundamentally driven by the domestic savings-investment balance. The main factor behind the burgeoning surpluses in East Asia and Western Europe post-GFC is weak domestic demand, namely with domestic investment falling amid steady-to-higher national savings.
China ironically has been bucking this trend, as it unleashed domestic investment to spur growth post-GFC. China’s current account surplus is surprisingly lower than one would expect given its extraordinarily high national savings rate.
The global savings glut revival should again help to restrain global bond yields.
The non-USD Anglosphere currencies (GBP, CAD, AUD and NZD) are vulnerable in the event of another global financial shock given their reliance on foreign capital inflows.
The rise of the euro area surpluses solidifies the euro’s position as an emerging safe-haven currency, so long as the financial shock does not emanate from Europe itself.
Finally, trade and currency policy are unlikely to make much of a dent in the US-China current account relationship, which is fundamentally a symptom of much deeper and largely domestic macroeconomic forces.
