FxWirePro: Gold Daily Outlook

Gold is consolidating in narrow range after hitting 5-month high of $1250. Markets eye US Fed decision for further direction.It is currently trading around $1241.90.

The major three factors that drive gold prices

 US dollar Index: neutral. DXY is trading flat after hitting low of 96.88 level. The index has shown a decline once again after jumping above 97.50 level.US Dollar index’s previous high is around 97.69 and any further bullishness only above that level.It is currently trading around 97.13.(neutral for for gold).

USD/JPY: Strong. The pair has declined slightly nearly 30 pips from high of 113.70. It is currently trading around 113.48. The near term resistance is around 114 and any break below targets 114.25/114.55. Slightly negative for gold.

 US 10 year yield : US 10 year yield is trading flat after 3.5% jump from low of 2.8170 and currently trading around 2.89%.negative for Gold.

 US 2 year yield: It has jumped more than 4% from low of 2.68% and spread between US 10 year and 2 year has decreased sharply to 13bpbs from 30 bpbs. The spread between 5 year and 2- year yield has inverted for the first time since 2007.

Gold technical

Major support $1183

Major resistance - $1243

 On the higher side, major resistance is around $1251 and any convincing break above targets $1260/$1265.

The near term support is around $1238-41 (23.6% fib and 200-day MA) and any violation below will drag the commodity down till $1229 (10-day MA)/$1221 (55- day EMA).

 It is good to sell on rallies around $1247-48 with SL around $1252 for the TP of $1235/$1230.