Ichimoku Analysis (4-hour chart)
Tenken-Sen- $1986.38
Kijun-Sen- $1990.86
Gold prices regained above $2000 as risk aversion gains momentum. It hits a high of $2002.55 and is currently trading around $1995.35.
US conference board consumer confidence declined to 101.30 lowest level since July 2022, compared to a forecast of 104.10. US Richmond Manufacturing Index Apr -10 Vs. Expected -8.
US dollar index- Neutral. Minor support around 101/100. The near-term resistance is 102.35/103.
Major economic data
Apr 26th, 2023 US Core Durable goods order (12:30 pm GMT).
According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate hike in May increased to 23.3% from 9.5% a day ago.
The US 10-year yield trades are weak for the fifth consecutive day on weak US economic data. The US 10 and 2-year spread narrowed to -52.5% from -108%.
Factors to watch for gold price action-
Global stock market- bullish (negative for gold)
US dollar index - Bearish (positive for gold)
US10-year bond yield- bearish (positive for gold)
Technical:
The near–term support is around $1970, a break below targets of $1955/$1935.The yellow metal faces minor resistance around $2020, and a breach above will take it to the next level of $2050/$2070.
It is good to buy on dips around $1990 with SL around $1970 for TP of $2040/$2070.
