Gold -
Ichimoku Analysis (4 Hour chart)
Tenken-Sen- $2421
Kijun-Sen- $2426
Gold hits fresh all-time high after dismal US retail sales. It hit a high of $2482 at the time of writing and is currently trading around $2474.
US economic data
US retail sales - weak (positive for gold)
Market eyes US building permits and Industrial production for further direction.
According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 25 bpbs rate cut in Sep increased to 91.6% from 69.70% a week ago.
US dollar index- Bearish. Minor support around 104/103. The near-term resistance is 105/106.20.
Factors to watch for gold price action-
Global stock market- Bullish (negative for gold)
US dollar index - Bearish (positive for gold)
US10-year bond yield- Bearish (positive for gold)
Technical:
The near–term support is around $2460, a break below the target of $2440/$2410/$235. The yellow metal faces minor resistance around $2485 and a breach above will take it to the next level of $2500.
It is good to buy on dips around $2460-61 with an SL of around $2440 for a TP of $2500.
