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FxWirePro: Kiwi bears relentless, NZD/USD breaks major support at 0.6930, stay short for 0.6810

  • NZD/USD has continued in the downtrend for 7th consecutive session, has hit fresh 2-month lows at 0.6892.
     
  • The ADP report overnight is seen as a positive prelude to this Friday's all-important nonfarm payrolls report. 
     
  • Weaker dairy prices and the RBNZ’s reiteration that it is on hold for a long time are additional negative factors.
     
  • The pair has broken below major support at 0.6930, intraday bias lower. We see scope for further downside, test of  0.6814 likely. 

Support levels - 0.6862 (Dec 23 low), 0.6810 (trendline), 0.68 

Resistance levels - 0.6916 (50% Fib retrace of 0.6347 to 0.7485 rally), 0.6960 (5-DMA), 0.70, 0.7050 (38.2% Fib)

TIME  TREND INDEX  OB/OS INDEX    

1H          Bearish               Oversold        
4H          Bearish               Oversold        
1D          Bearish               Oversold        
1W         Bearish               Neutral      

Call update: Our previous call (http://www.econotimes.com/FxWirePro-NZD-USD-edges-higher-from-fresh-multi-week-lows-at-06982-bias-lower-short-rallies-575730) has hit all targets.

Recommendation: Book partial profits, lower trailing stop to 0.6960, stay short for 0.6810.

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly NZD Spot Index was at -139.382(Highly Bearish), while Hourly USD Spot Index was at 101.655 (Highly bullish) at 0540 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex
 

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