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FxWirePro: Kiwi under pressure from poor Chinese trade data, NZD/USD on track to test 200-DMA at 0.6940

Data released earlier today showed that China's trade data disappointed in September. China's trade balance for September, in yuan terms, came in at 278.4bn CNY vs 300bn expected and 346bn last. Exports came much worse t…

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FxWirePro: Kiwi under pressure from poor Chinese trade data, NZD/USD on track to test 200-DMA at 0.6940
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  • Data released earlier today showed that China's trade data disappointed in September.
     
  • China's trade balance for September, in yuan terms, came in at 278.4bn CNY vs 300bn expected and 346bn last. 
     
  • Exports came much worse than expected at -5.6% y/y vs 2.5% expected and 5.9% last, while imports were +2.2% y/y vs +5.5% expected and 10.8% last.
     
  • NZD/USD in the red, continues downside after brief pause on Wednesday.
     
  • The pair is holding major trendline support at 0.7030, break below could drag the pair lower.
     
  • 200-DMA at 0.6940 in sight. Bearish invalidation only above 100-DMA at 0.7161.
     
  • Divergent monetary policy outlooks between the Fed and RBNZ continues to exert downward pressure on NZD/USD.
     
  • Focus now shifts towards the US unemployment claims and EIA oil inventory report for further momentum in the major.
     
  • Major support levels - 0.7030 (trendline), 0.70, 0.6970 (June 24 low), 0.6940 (200-DMA)
     
  • Major resistance levels - 0.7094 (5-DMA, double top June 16 & Oct 12), 0.7148 (June 9 high), 0.7161 (100-DMA)
    ​

Recommendation: Good to sell break below 0.7030, SL: 0.71, TP: 0.70/ 0.6970/ 0.6940
 

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