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FxWirePro: NZD/JPY breaks below 61.8% Fib, bias lower, good to go short on upticks

NZD/JPY trades 0.47% lower on the day, at 74.56 at the time of writing. The pair has broken major trendline support at 74.80, bias remains bearish. Kiwi remains under pressure after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ)…

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FxWirePro: NZD/JPY breaks below 61.8% Fib, bias lower, good to go short on upticks
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  • NZD/JPY trades 0.47% lower on the day, at 74.56 at the time of writing.
     
  • The pair has broken major trendline support at 74.80, bias remains bearish.
     
  • Kiwi remains under pressure after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) kept the overnight cash rate (OCR) unchanged at 1.75 percent.
     
  • The RBNZ statement has a more dovish bias with the central bank also hinting readiness to act if conditions sway from its expected path.
     
  • Technical indicators are bearish. Momentum with the bears and -ve DMI dominance adds support to downside.
     
  • Price has broken below 61.8% Fib and we see scope for test of 78.6% Fib at 72.3 levels.
     
  • Bearish invalidation likely if the pair manages to retrace break below 74.80 (trendline). Close above could see some pull back.

Support levels - 74, 72.37 (78.6% Fib)

Resistance levels - 74.80 (trendline), 75.29 (5-DMA)

Recommendation: Good to go short on upticks around 74.60/70, SL: 75, TP: 74/ 73/ 72.40

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly NZD Spot Index was at -147.707 (Bearish), while Hourly JPY Spot Index was at 11.6185 (Neutral) at 0800 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex. 
 

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