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FxWirePro: NZD/JPY consolidates break below 200-DMA, bias lower, stay short

  • NZD/JPY is consolidating a break below 200-DMA, intraday bias lower.
     
  • Technical indicators are bearish, Stochs biased lower, RSI below 50 and MACD is showing a bearish crossover.
     
  • New Zealand electronic card retail sales data came in below markets’ expectations, which added to weakness around the kiwi.
     
  • Nearly converged 5&200 DMAs at 80.05 offer major resistance, we see bearish invalidation only on retrace above.
     
  • We see scope for test of 78.70 (Wedge base). Violation there could see further weakness.

Support levels - 79.53 (23.6% Fib retrace of 83.91 to 78.18 fall), 79, 78.70 (Wedge base)

Resistance levels - 80.05 (200-DMA), 80.37 (38.2% Fib retrace of 83.91 to 78.18 fall), 80.86 (20-DMA)

Recommendation: Good to go short on rallies around 79.70/80, SL: 80.40, TP: 79/ 78.70/ 78.20.

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